Plain English Meaning
A researcher whose work helps explain why, after something goes wrong, people often think the outcome should have been obvious beforehand — even when it wasn't. His findings are used in aviation training to encourage fairer, more useful analysis of pilot mistakes.
Full Definition
Baruch Fischhoff is an American academic and researcher recognized for his work on judgment, decision-making, and risk perception. He is cited in aviation instructional material for his research on hindsight bias — the human tendency, after an event has occurred, to view its outcome as having been predictable or inevitable. His work informs how instructors and accident investigators analyze pilot error and learn from past events without unfairly judging the people involved.
Context Anchor
Seen in aviation instruction discussions about learning from mistakes, reviewing fairly, and how pilots and instructors judge past decisions.